Carbofer General Trading, a private company established in
Luxembourg in 2004, specializes in the global trading of steel and raw
materials. In 2008, its trading volumes reached 9.7 million mt and its
revenues reached $2.7 billion. The company’s global network consists of
sales offices located in Europe, CIS, Middle East, Asia and America.
It
is impossible to say whether or not the steel industry gained some
ground during the summer period. A while back, there was greater
coherence as regards the overall situation of market players. Either
everybody was doing well, or everybody was doing badly. Nowadays, the
general state of affairs is more contradictory, which makes it
difficult to gain a clear picture.
For example, at the
beginning of August in China some really good days were seen; however,
in the space of just three days, the scenario changed dramatically and
Chinese players are now going through a very bad period and nobody can
predict if China will be able to return to its previous levels any time
soon. The steel markets are very unpredictable, now more than ever.
Taking
a look at the billet markets, we can say that the situation has been
quite good and that the predictions of a price downtrend were mistaken.
Why? The answer is in the most natural economic concept: the balance
between offers and demand. And since the second has been stronger that
the first, prices have kept their strength. Other than this, billet
producers have benefited from the demand coming from Asia.
Meanwhile,
we see that rerollers are in a difficult situation, squeezed between
the strength of billet prices and the weakness of the finish product
markets. This is especially the case in Europe, more than in Asia.
In
the US there have not been so many difficulties in the longs market
during the last few months, though transaction volumes are very low.
Russia’s longs sales performance is down around 60 percent, mostly due to the bad situation in the construction industry.
North
Africa and the Middle East have seen a good period in recent months,
which helped solve some problems of certain countries (Italy, for
example) that were experiencing difficulties in their local markets and
were able to compensate by exporting some tonnages. During the last
couple of weeks, there has been a reduction in the strength of these
markets, but it is not easy to understand how much it was linked to
Ramadan and how much has been due to signals of weakness from China.
As
regards the future for the European longs market, we may say that the
current situation is not an easy one and that something will have to
change. Market players will be required to show maximum caution.